Detailed Research Plan:
The investigators' preliminary findings suggest that patients with PKU might show altered
aging trajectories compared to controls. The present study will investigate the aging
trajectory in patients with PKU and its association with cognitive and metabolic aging
over a 5-year time period. The investigators will use the well-established "Brain Age
Gap" metric, which defines the biological brain age relative to the chronological age
across different brain regions. Based on the investigators' preliminary and published
results the following hypotheses are postulated:
A) There is accelerated brain aging in certain brain regions (as measured with an
increasing Brain Age Gap) over a 5-year follow-up period in patients with PKU.
B) The Brain Age Gap relates to cognitive performance, blood-Phe levels, and other
metabolic parameters in patients with PKU.
C) In patients, age-related changes in gray matter metrics (prefrontal cortical
thickness), white matter microstructure, and cerebral blood flow will be more pronounced
over the 5-year follow-up period than in controls.
D) Patients' cognitive performance decreases more strongly over the 5-year follow-up
period in sustained attention and cognitive flexibility than controls' cognitive
performance.
E) In patients, there is a relationship between changes in structural and functional
brain characteristics and changes in cognitive performance and metabolic parameters.
Study procedure: The study procedure will mimic the baseline assessment as closely as
possible. All patients will be asked again to take part in this longitudinal study.
Participants will therefore be the same as at Time Point 1 (TP1) which was performed
between 2019 and 2022, involving 30 early-treated adult patients with PKU (13 females,
median age = 35.5 years, IQR = 12.3, age range = 19-48 years) and 59 healthy age-, sex-,
and IQ-matched controls (33 males, 26 females, median age = 30.0 years, IQR = 11.0, age
range = 18-53 years). TP2 (Time point 2, 5-year follow-up) will take place between 2024
and 2027, with the same assessments and methods. All participants will undergo identical
assessments five years apart to evaluate cognitive function, mood, quality of life,
metabolic parameters, and brain structure and function using MRI. Patients with PKU and
healthy controls will undergo the same study procedure: after an overnight fasting
period, a blood sample will be drawn early in the morning (6-8 am) followed by a DXA
(Dual Energy X-ray Absorptiometry). After this, the 1-hour MRI will be performed under
the guidance of the team from the Institute of Diagnostic and Interventional
Neuroradiology. After a break, which includes a low-protein snack, a 2-hour
neuropsychological assessment will be performed by a neuropsychologist. All assessments
will take place at the University Hospital Inselspital Bern.
Brain Age Gap: A well-established technique used in different clinical samples will be
employed to estimate biological brain age relative to chronological age, the so called
"Brain Age Gap". Additionally, regional changes in gray matter, brain connectivity and
cerebral blood flow will be assessed longitudinally to depict cerebral aging trajectories
across MRI sequences and brain regions. Advanced statistical analyses will associate the
Brain Age Gap relative to cognition and metabolic control. Machine learning models will
be used to estimate brain age based on MRI-derived measures. For each participant, an
estimate of the Brain Age Gap (predicted brain age minus chronological age), indicating
the degree of brain maintenance will be calculated using XGBoost. XGBoost uses gradient
tree boosting based on 1118 features to predict the Brain Age Gap. These features are
extracted using the open-source software FreeSurfer. The features consist of thickness,
area, and volume measurements from a multimodal parcellation of the cerebral cortex,
cerebellum, and subcortex.
Statistical Analyses:
Changes in global and regional Brain Age Gaps between baseline (TP1) and the 5-year
follow-up (TP2) in patients and controls will be evaluated with linear mixed models using
restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation (hypothesis A). These models will include
global and regional Brain Age Gaps as dependent variables, time, group, and the
interaction between time and group as a fixed effect, while age and sex will be
incorporated as covariates. Participant ID will be modeled as a random effect (intercept)
to account for within-subject variance. The linear mixed modeling approach will also be
applied to the cognitive and metabolic data. To assess the associations between Brain Age
Gap estimates, cognitive performance, and metabolic parameters, linear models and raw
values, again with BAG as dependent variable and cognition and metabolic parameters as
independent variables will be calculated (hypothesis B). Age-related changes in cerebral
markers (structural gray and white matter metrics, cerebral blood flow) in patients and
controls will be assessed with the same linear mixed model approach used for hypothesis
A, replacing Brain Age Gaps with these cerebral markers as dependent variables
(hypothesis C). Likewise, changes in cognitive performance in patients and controls will
be evaluated with linear mixed models (hypothesis D). Finally, the relationship between
changes in cerebral markers, cognitive performance, and metabolic data will be
investigated using the same model approach as in hypothesis B, with changes in cerebral
markers serving as dependent variable and cognition and metabolic parameters as
independent variables (hypothesis E). Statistical significance will be determined at a
threshold of p < .05, with corrections for multiple comparisons applied via the false
discovery rate (FDR) procedure.