Oncology Trials Outpacing Rest of the Field in Complexity and Duration, Study Shows
Clinical trials in all therapeutic areas are increasing in complexity, but oncology trials are outstripping the rest of the field due to enrollment challenges, protocol deviations and a burgeoning amount of data that are adding months to their timelines.
The three phases of oncology trials each take 14 to 18 months longer, on average, than trials for other drugs, lasting almost 12 years compared to almost eight years for nononcology trials, according to a new report by the Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development (CSDD).
The report says trials of oncology drugs are more difficult to execute because they typically involve more countries and investigative sites and require more patient visits per protocol. They also generate a much higher volume of data compared to trials for other drugs — for example, 3.1 million data points per protocol in phase 2 oncology compared to 1.9 million in nononcology.
The number of investigational drugs targeting cancer has nearly quadrupled since 2000, to 1,489 trials in 2021, up from 421 two decades earlier. Oncology drug developers are increasingly shifting toward precision medicine, embracing new molecular targets and improvements in genetic sequencing technologies, CSDD says.
But as sponsors of cancer treatments shift their focus to precision medicine, it becomes harder to find participants that fit increasingly selective criteria. That hurdle, combined with the high number of sites and countries involved in the trials, “underscores the challenges associated with finding, competing for and enrolling patients [in oncology],” CSDD said.
“The design, executional complexity and customization [of oncology trials] is driven in large part by the genetic targeting of, and competition for, patients,” CSDD senior research analyst Zachary Smith, a coauthor of the study, told CenterWatch Weekly. “This has impacted cycle times and enrollment performance substantially, particularly in two key areas: the larger number of countries and investigative sites, and the total number of data points.”
Success at finding eligible trial participants was far more challenging for oncology trials, especially in phase 2, where only 14 percent of participants screened were enrolled and eventually completed the trial compared to 54 percent in nononcology trials.
To overcome enrollment challenges, phase 2 and phase 3 oncology protocol designs typically have larger numbers of protocol deviations and substantial amendments, CSDD found. For example, phase 2 oncology studies between 2014 and 2019 averaged 121.8 protocol deviations compared to 75.8 for other studies. The number of unplanned and unbudgeted substantial amendments made to phase 2 and phase 3 oncology studies were 50 percent to 70 percent higher than for other drugs.
The number of drugs in clinical trials worldwide grew 4.1 percent annually between 2000 and 2020, but CSDD found the number of oncology drug trials grew at a faster rate, 6.5 percent, compared to nononcology drugs, which grew 3.6 percent annually. Consequently, oncology drugs accounted for a 23.1 percent share of all drugs in clinical development in 2020, up from 14.8 percent in 2000.
Although oncology drug trials take longer, sites address the problem by doing many activities in parallel. The mean number of days in phase 1, phase 2 and phase 3 trials between 2014 and 2019 were 1,018, 1,482 and 1,769 days, respectively, for oncology drugs. That compares to 573, 991 and 1,214 days, respectively, for nononcology drugs. But CSDD researchers found that an entire oncology drug development program — from filing an investigational new drug application, through all three trial phases to application for FDA approval — is on average only five months longer than other drug development programs. The overall timeline is trimmed down, according to CSDD, by conducting many phase 2 and 3 activities, especially internal reviews, in parallel.
CSDD also found that oncology protocols undergo many more internal reviews prior to finalization, particularly in phase 3, compared to protocols for other drugs. Between 2014 and 2019, phase 2 oncology protocols went through an average of 4.8 internal reviews compared to 3.9 reviews for other protocols. Phase 3 oncology protocols had an average of 9.7 reviews compared to 5.9 reviews for other protocols. At the same time, the number of endpoints, eligibility criteria and distinct procedures for oncology drugs were either comparable or lower than that for other drugs.
Total endpoints in phase 2 and phase 3 oncology protocols during the five-year period studied averaged 18.5 and 14.6, respectively, compared to 21.6 and 21.0 in nononcology. The total number of eligibility criteria averaged 29.3 and 30.2 in oncology protocols, respectively, vs. 32.3 and 30.1 in other protocols. And the number of distinct procedures averaged 34.4 and 34.1 in oncology protocols compared to 31.8 and 35.1 in nononcology protocols.
Meanwhile, the average number of pages in the protocol when the study is completed was considerably higher for oncology drugs (121.3 in phase 2, 130.3 in phase 3) compared to other drugs (110.2 in phase 2, 111.2 in phase 3), reflecting cancer trials’ “scientific and executional complexity,” CSDD said.
Despite the complexity, phase 3 oncology trials started faster between 2014 and 2019 — 140.2 days on average compared to 171.5 days for other drugs — because “sponsors and their collaborators have become more proficient at executing protocols,” according to CSDD. However, the time between a trial’s completion and the completion of a study report about it was much longer in phase 3 oncology trials (213.5 days) compared to nononcology (154.1 days), due to a growing share of trials involving “more sophisticated crossover, adaptive and master protocol designs,” CSDD said.
CSDD researchers did find that regulatory reviews for oncology drugs were 2.5 months shorter, on average, than for nononcology drugs “as the former frequently benefit from expedited review pathways and are more than twice as likely to receive priority review status.”
Smith said several of the study’s findings surprised CSDD researchers. “All of them relate to the extent to which companies must go to find and enroll patients for cancer clinical trials today,” he said. “What I found surprising was how consistently the increasing complexity of oncology trials was outpacing the increasing complexity of nononcology trials.”
The CSDD report was based on analyses of clinical trial data from sponsors, as well as data on 261 new drugs and biologics approved by the FDA’s Center for Drug Evaluation and Research between 2014 and 2019. Protocol design and performance data from 223 protocols were provided by 20 major pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies.